For Donald Trump and his Alt-gang the conflict is not a gamble, but a win-win situation. Should there be war with North Korea he wins, if Kim Un pulls back with Chinese guidance the U. S. and Trump win Big. What I am saying it is a gamble for only North Korea and not for America. In case of a conventional war NOKO, as FOx Network names the country, would be defeated in days or at most few months, and immediately defeated during two nuclear drops. In both types of warfare there would be few or no American casualties. The South Koreans and possibly Japan would furnish the necessary cannon fodder.
Rest assured Readers the opening will be surgical and conventional, no one wants nuclear war yet, or ever. we must wait and see what develops on both sides. Who will blink first. China is the key, they hold the reins at this moment, but what will the two horses do independently? (It is encouraging reports are that at the nuclear preparation facility the staff continues to plays volleyball in the early Spring weather)
President Trump has done some good, clamped down on illegals, Mexican gangs, encourages enterprise, attempts to create jobs for America’s unemployed, the needy, and he places America First in international trade policy, ‘Buy American, Hire American.’ That’s fine. However it stops there. His motives thereafter tend to be dictatorial, a bad sign for those who love freedom, democracy, our political system, and peace. He plays up to Wall Street, individual corporations with large tax breaks for the rich, the military industrial complex, and their loyal contractors. Trump has not cleaned up the Washington swamp, but created a new deeper one. We are stuck with him for four years, maybe eight, although anything can happen in those years, mostly bad. Reportedly Trump’s approval ratings have jumped to 43% and may go higher as most Americans desire more jobs and want Kim and his regime out-of-the-way.
To answer questions posed by some readers of what could happen, what follows next after a North Korean defeat and the blood dry? The United States and its allies will install a puppet government. Refugees will be taken in by South Korea, China, and also Japan may take a few. The remaining loyal Kim supporters in the country would survive, discredited, and possibly hated by the citizenry. Disturbing is the fact that nearly everyone has had or will have access to weaponry, necessary for insurgency. On the other hand the population will be willing to work hard for low wages to recover their crippled country and to exploit vast mineral resources that lay within. (No oil, but ‘Thars gold, and metals in them thar hills’)
It is generally good to have a presidential transfer whereby a Maximus follows a Minimalist to balance our political system as we now see has happened, but the unqualified verbose Trump has gone dangerously too far. He is a man of action unwilling to compromise and wants it entirely his own way. His select group of advisors, the Alt-Crew, seemingly believe, understands, two principals: ‘Might makes right’ and ‘The business of America is business.’ They want nothing to stand in the way of their objectives which has other troublesome features. On recent trips to Asia and the Middle East, Mathis and Tollerson have talked war, but they also talked trade deals.
It appears at this time China will push North Korea into compromise. China is generally no-aggressive unless directly threatened, and is becoming prosperous well beyond their wildest dreams. They have much to lose at this point. The crisis will then recede, but not entirely eliminated and there may well be room for negotiations and compromises. In spite of a large army and nuclear weaponry Kim jong Un is a paper tiger with a small nation of only 28 million.
Certainly I hope when Kim talks to XI by phone he will say ‘XI, I would not attack the U. S., I’m saner than you think, I was only Joking.’
All the Best.